Should I drop Michael Mayer for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Smash: add T.J. Hockenson for Michael Mayer

This week’s projections are 6.5 FP for Michael Mayer and 9.2 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson leads by 34.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 5:13 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Michael Mayer

TE · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

6.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

22.4%rostered on ESPN-0.10 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

80.9%rostered on ESPN+0.40 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Michael Mayer is 22.4% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 80.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer projects for 6.5 Half-PPR points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 8.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 22.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.10 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.5 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.3 FP
Sleeper: 6.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 9.2 Half-PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 12.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.40 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Michael Mayer	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	19.1 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	26.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	59.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	93.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	27.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	39.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Michael Mayer	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	6.5 FPvs SF	9.2 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	6.0 FPvs SEA	8.0 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 11	6.6 FPvs DEN	8.8 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 12	6.4 FPvs CLE	9.1 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	9.2 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 14	6.4 FPvs LAC	9.2 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	6.6 FPvs DEN	10.7 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	7.0 FPvs TEN	10.5 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	7.1 FPvs ARI	9.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 18	6.8 FPvs KC	9.4 FPvs CHIHigher projection