Should I drop Michael Mayer for Dallas Goedert?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Dallas Goedert for Michael Mayer

This week’s projections are 6.5 FP for Michael Mayer and 7.5 FP for Dallas Goedert. Dallas Goedert leads by 8.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 5:13 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Michael Mayer

TE · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

6.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

22.4%rostered on ESPN-0.10 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN-0.60 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Michael Mayer is 22.4% rostered; Dallas Goedert is 81.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer projects for 6.5 Half-PPR points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 8.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 22.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.10 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.5 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.3 FP
Sleeper: 6.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 7.2 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.60 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.5 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Michael Mayer	Dallas Goedert
Next 3 weeks	19.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	15.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	59.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	67.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	27.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	28.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Michael Mayer	Dallas Goedert
Week 9	6.5 FPvs SF	7.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 10	6.0 FPvs SEAHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	6.6 FPvs DEN	7.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 12	6.4 FPvs CLE	8.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	8.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 14	6.4 FPvs LAC	7.7 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 15	6.6 FPvs DEN	6.6 FPvs SEA
Week 16	7.0 FPvs TEN	7.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 17	7.1 FPvs ARI	7.3 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 18	6.8 FPvs KC	7.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection