
Should I start Gunnar Helm or Mason Taylor? (Half-PPR Week 17 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Mason Taylor
Week 17 ยท Half-PPR
Mason Taylor has the higher current FF forecast: 5.3 FP versus 4.9 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Mason Taylor: 9.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Mason Taylor: 10% matchup reduction against MIN.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR




Mason Taylor
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบGunnar Helm
- Recent scoring average: 8.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Mason Taylor
- Recent scoring average: 9.2 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Gunnar Helm
- FF projection
- 4.9 FP +0.6vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.7 FP
Gunnar Helm faces PIT in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 8.0 fantasy points.
Mason Taylor
- FF projection
- 5.3 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 5.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.8 FP
Mason Taylor faces MIN in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 9.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 13.215.5Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 11.414.4Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 12.212.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Mason Taylor5.3projected FP
Juwan Johnson6.6projected FP
Mason Taylor5.3projected FP
Dalton Schultz5.3projected FP
Mason Taylor5.3projected FP
Tyler Higbee5.0projected FP
Mason Taylor5.3projected FP
Greg Dulcich5.6projected FP
Brock Bowers15.5projected FP
Trey McBride14.4projected FP
Trey McBride14.4projected FP
Colston Loveland12.0projected FP
Colston Loveland12.0projected FP
George Kittle11.4projected FP
George Kittle11.4projected FP
Isaiah Likely10.2projected FP
Isaiah Likely10.2projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.10.0projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.10.0projected FP
Dalton Kincaid9.6projected FP