Should I start Drew Sample or Jared Wiley in Week 17 (2026, Half-PPR)?

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Jared Wiley: One source has him at zero while another expects points. Check his game status before relying on this comparison. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Drew Sample: 3.1 FP recent scoring average.
Jared Wiley: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 2026, 10:40 AM ET · Half-PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Drew Sample

TE · CINStats & schedule

1.8FF projected

↑ +0.3 vs ESPN

vs BAL

Thu 8:15 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Jared Wiley

TE · KCStats & schedule

0.7FF projected

at LAC

Sun 12:00 AM ET

Why this pick?

Drew Sample

FF projection: 1.8 FP +0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.5 FP
Sleeper: 2.1 FP

Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 3.1 fantasy points.

Jared Wiley

FF projection: 0.7 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
FantasyPros: 1.3 FP

Jared Wiley faces LAC in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

9.517.6

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 13.9Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 13.2
15.5Expected FP
2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 11.4
14.4Expected FP
3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 12.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 12.2
12.0Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.