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Week 162026 · PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 16 · PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
84 shown · common FP scale
2.424.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    22.1Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.7Expected FP
  3. 3
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    19.8Expected FP
  5. 5
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.3Expected FP
  7. 7
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  8. 8
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  10. 10
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    16.9Expected FP
  11. 11
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    16.5Expected FP
  12. 12
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.3Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.2Expected FP
  14. 14
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  15. 15
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  16. 16
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  19. 19
    George PickensWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  21. 21
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  25. 25
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  26. 26
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  28. 28
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  29. 29
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  30. 30
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  32. 32
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  33. 33
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  34. 34
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  37. 37
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  38. 38
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  39. 39
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  40. 40
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  41. 41
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  42. 42
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  43. 43
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  44. 44
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  45. 45
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  46. 46
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  49. 49
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  50. 50
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  51. 51
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  52. 52
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  53. 53
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  54. 54
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  55. 55
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  56. 56
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  57. 57
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  58. 58
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  59. 59
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  60. 60
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  61. 61
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  62. 62
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  63. 63
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  64. 64
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  65. 65
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  66. 66
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  67. 67
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  68. 68
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  69. 69
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  70. 70
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  71. 71
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  72. 72
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  73. 73
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  74. 74
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  75. 75
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  76. 76
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  77. 77
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  78. 78
    Travis HunterWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  79. 79
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  80. 80
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  81. 81
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  82. 82
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  83. 83
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  84. 84
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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