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Week 162026 · PPR

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TE · Week 16 · PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
40 shown · common FP scale
4.020.5
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Brock BowersTE · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.3Expected FP
  2. 2
    Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    George KittleTE · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  5. 5
    T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Travis KelceTE · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  8. 8
    Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  10. 10
    Tucker KraftTE · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  11. 11
    Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  12. 12
    Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  13. 13
    Hunter HenryTE · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  14. 14
    Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  15. 15
    Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  16. 16
    Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  17. 17
    Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  18. 18
    Darren WallerTE · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Michael MayerTE · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  21. 21
    Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  22. 22
    Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  25. 25
    Eli RaridonTE · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  27. 27
    Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  28. 28
    Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  29. 29
    Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  30. 30
    Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  31. 31
    Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  32. 32
    Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  33. 33
    Cade OttonTE · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  34. 34
    Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  35. 35
    Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  37. 37
    David NjokuTE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  39. 39
    Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  40. 40
    Charlie KolarTE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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