
Should I start Calvin Ridley or Darius Cooper? (Half-PPR Week 16 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Darius Cooper
The displayed FF scores are tied. Darius Cooper gets the tiebreaker: FF is +1.7 FP versus ESPN, compared with +0.4 for Calvin Ridley. The higher FF-minus-ESPN margin is preferred; this is not a measured probability of beating ESPN.
- Darius Cooper: 2.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Calvin Ridley: 1.5 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Calvin Ridley
WR ยท TENStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Darius Cooper
- FF projection
- 3.1 FP +1.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 2.9 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Darius Cooper faces HOU in Week 16. Recent scoring average: 2.9 fantasy points.
Calvin Ridley
- FF projection
- 3.1 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 2.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 3.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Calvin Ridley faces LV in Week 16. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 17.018.3Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.8Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 17.018.1Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.5Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 15.716.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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