FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 15 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 24.3FantasyPros 19.023.2Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.4Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 19.421.4Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.5Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 19.819.7Expected FP - 4
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.3Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.118.8Expected FP - 5
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 16.417.8Expected FP - 6
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 19.3FantasyPros 16.217.6Expected FP - 7
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 19.5FantasyPros 15.516.9Expected FP - 8
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.3Sleeper 17.4FantasyPros 15.716.9Expected FP - 9
Mike EvansWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 19.6FantasyPros 13.816.7Expected FP - 10
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.7Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 15.516.2Expected FP - 11
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 15.516.1Expected FP - 12
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 13.716.0Expected FP - 13
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.6Sleeper 14.5FantasyPros 13.315.9Expected FP - 14
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.2Sleeper 17.9FantasyPros 15.815.8Expected FP - 15
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.8Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 13.715.2Expected FP - 16
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 14.114.6Expected FP - 17
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 17.9FantasyPros 13.814.6Expected FP - 18
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 13.914.3Expected FP - 19
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 14.214.3Expected FP - 20
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.6Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 14.714.3Expected FP - 21
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 14.213.5Expected FP - 22
George PickensWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 14.813.4Expected FP - 23
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 12.613.3Expected FP - 24
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 11.612.6Expected FP - 25
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 12.411.9Expected FP - 26
KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 10.611.6Expected FP - 27
Josh DownsWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 11.311.5Expected FP - 28
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 10.611.4Expected FP - 29
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 11.011.3Expected FP - 30
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 11.811.2Expected FP - 31
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 10.611.1Expected FP - 32
Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 10.611.1Expected FP - 33
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 11.111.0Expected FP - 34
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 11.710.9Expected FP - 35
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 10.810.8Expected FP - 36
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 11.410.8Expected FP - 37
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 10.710.7Expected FP - 38
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 12.710.7Expected FP - 39
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.710.6Expected FP - 40
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.910.6Expected FP - 41
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 10.810.6Expected FP - 42
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 11.610.6Expected FP - 43
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 10.610.5Expected FP - 44
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 9.710.5Expected FP - 45
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 11.310.4Expected FP - 46
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 10.110.2Expected FP - 47
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 8.010.0Expected FP - 48
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.810.0Expected FP - 49
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 11.39.9Expected FP - 50
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 9.79.9Expected FP - 51
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 7.89.8Expected FP - 52
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 10.89.2Expected FP - 53
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.69.0Expected FP - 54
Tank DellWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 9.38.4Expected FP - 55
DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 9.28.4Expected FP - 56
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.58.0Expected FP - 57
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 8.37.8Expected FP - 58
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 9.27.8Expected FP - 59
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.7FantasyPros 7.37.6Expected FP - 60
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 8.97.5Expected FP - 61
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 5.87.4Expected FP - 62
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 7.07.4Expected FP - 63
Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.8FantasyPros 7.97.4Expected FP - 64
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 7.77.3Expected FP - 65
Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.07.3Expected FP - 66
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 9.17.2Expected FP - 67
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 5.67.1Expected FP - 68
Mack HollinsWR · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 5.96.7Expected FP - 69
Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 7.66.6Expected FP - 70
Chris BellWR · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 7.26.4Expected FP - 71
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 6.06.4Expected FP - 72
De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 9.36.3Expected FP - 73
Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.3FantasyPros 6.26.3Expected FP - 74
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 6.56.2Expected FP - 75
Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 5.36.1Expected FP - 76
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 8.26.1Expected FP - 77
Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 5.85.9Expected FP - 78
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 6.85.8Expected FP - 79
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 8.45.7Expected FP - 80
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 4.45.4Expected FP - 81
Tutu AtwellWR · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 3.55.3Expected FP - 82
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 6.25.2Expected FP - 83
Jalen NailorWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 5.25.1Expected FP - 84
Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 4.25.1Expected FP - 85
Laquon TreadwellWR · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 3.45.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
