FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 15 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.0Sleeper 24.2FantasyPros 21.521.7Expected FP - 2
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.1Sleeper 19.3FantasyPros 16.521.2Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.1Sleeper 19.8FantasyPros 21.020.8Expected FP - 4
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.1Sleeper 21.5FantasyPros 18.120.4Expected FP - 5
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 14.720.3Expected FP - 6
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.7Sleeper 22.7FantasyPros 16.119.8Expected FP - 7
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 17.918.9Expected FP - 8
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.2Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 16.518.5Expected FP - 9
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.5Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 17.118.1Expected FP - 10
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 16.617.8Expected FP - 11
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.7Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 17.217.3Expected FP - 12
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.4Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 14.716.7Expected FP - 13
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.8Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 16.016.7Expected FP - 14
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.6Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 16.915.6Expected FP - 15
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.5Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 14.515.2Expected FP - 16
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 13.015.1Expected FP - 17
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 14.314.2Expected FP - 18
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 15.313.6Expected FP - 19
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 14.0FantasyPros 12.213.5Expected FP - 20
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 13.412.7Expected FP - 21
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 13.012.6Expected FP - 22
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 12.212.2Expected FP - 23
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 13.212.2Expected FP - 24
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 11.711.7Expected FP - 25
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 10.111.4Expected FP - 26
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs SEASat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 10.210.9Expected FP - 27
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.3Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 10.410.5Expected FP - 28
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs BUFSat 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 12.110.3Expected FP - 29
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 9.610.1Expected FP - 30
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.89.7Expected FP - 31
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 9.39.6Expected FP - 32
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 10.79.2Expected FP - 33
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.0Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 7.59.0Expected FP - 34
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 10.98.9Expected FP - 35
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs PHISat 5:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 9.28.9Expected FP - 36
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 7.38.1Expected FP - 37
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 9.18.0Expected FP - 38
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs DETSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 9.28.0Expected FP - 39
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs NEMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 7.87.9Expected FP - 40
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 9.17.8Expected FP - 41
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 6.67.7Expected FP - 42
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 7.07.5Expected FP - 43
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.67.5Expected FP - 44
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.6FantasyPros 6.67.3Expected FP - 45
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs LACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 7.97.2Expected FP - 46
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 5.46.9Expected FP - 47
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.96.8Expected FP - 48
Justice HillRB · BAL vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 4.96.7Expected FP - 49
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 8.56.7Expected FP - 50
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 5.86.7Expected FP - 51
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 7.26.7Expected FP - 52
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.96.6Expected FP - 53
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.0FantasyPros 3.76.4Expected FP - 54
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 7.26.3Expected FP - 55
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.56.2Expected FP - 56
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs KCMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 6.25.7Expected FP - 57
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs SFThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 5.65.5Expected FP - 58
MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.75.1Expected FP - 59
Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 5.05.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
