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Week 152026 ยท Half-PPR

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Should I start Blake Corum or Tony Pollard? (Half-PPR Week 15 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Tony Pollard

+6.3 projected edge ยท Half-PPR

Start Tony Pollard over Blake Corum for Week 15 Half-PPR: 18.0 projected points versus 11.6.

  • Tony Pollard: 31.1 FP recent scoring average.
  • Tony Pollard: 5% matchup lift against IND.

Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

Tony Pollard
Why this pick?

Tony Pollard

FF projection
18.0 FP +0.3vs ESPN
ESPN
17.7 FP
Sleeper
11.3 FP
FantasyPros
12.9 FP
Boosted Trees
13.5 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Tony Pollard faces IND in Week 15. Recent scoring average: 31.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.

Blake Corum

FF projection
11.6 FP +0.3vs ESPN
ESPN
11.3 FP
Sleeper
10.6 FP
FantasyPros
12.4 FP
Boosted Trees
9.1 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Blake Corum faces DAL in Week 15. Recent scoring average: 13.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.

Tony Pollard projects for 18.0 points in half-PPR scoring, 6.3 more than Blake Corum. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 8:15 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Blake Corum and Tony Pollard?

Tony Pollard holds a 6.3 FP projected edge over Blake Corum. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Tony Pollard higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Blake Corum

Blake Corum has a 11.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR against DAL. His recorded recent scoring average is 13.9 FP, putting this forecast 2.3 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard has a 18.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against IND. His recorded recent scoring average is 31.1 FP, putting this forecast 13.1 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 5%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side
SourceBlake CorumTony PollardProjected edge
ESPN11.3 FP17.7 FPTony Pollard +6.4
Sleeper10.6 FP11.3 FPTony Pollard +0.6
FantasyPros12.4 FP12.9 FPTony Pollard +0.5
Boosted Trees9.1 FP13.5 FPTony Pollard +4.4

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Blake Corum: Sun 4:25 PM ET. Tony Pollard: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your leagueโ€™s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan โ†—.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
15.421.9
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.9Expected FP
  2. 2
    Bucky IrvingRB ยท TB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    Bijan RobinsonRB ยท ATL vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full RB rankings โ†—

YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK

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Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

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