FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 14 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 7.511.2Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 8.48.9Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 7.68.9Expected FP - 4
Travis KelceTE · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 7.57.7Expected FP - 5
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.97.2Expected FP - 6
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.17.2Expected FP - 7
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 5.56.4Expected FP - 8
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 4.46.2Expected FP - 9
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 4.36.2Expected FP - 10
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 7.26.1Expected FP - 11
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 5.36.0Expected FP - 12
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 6.35.9Expected FP - 13
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.35.8Expected FP - 14
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.15.7Expected FP - 15
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 4.55.7Expected FP - 16
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 5.35.3Expected FP - 17
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 4.35.2Expected FP - 18
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 4.45.2Expected FP - 19
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 4.35.2Expected FP - 20
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.05.0Expected FP - 21
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 3.84.9Expected FP - 22
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 2.94.8Expected FP - 23
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 4.24.6Expected FP - 24
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 3.54.3Expected FP - 25
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 5.24.2Expected FP - 26
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 3.14.1Expected FP - 27
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 3.24.1Expected FP - 28
Michael MayerTE · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 2.74.1Expected FP - 29
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.9Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 4.83.9Expected FP - 30
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 2.73.8Expected FP - 31
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.2Sleeper 2.2FantasyPros 5.33.5Expected FP - 32
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.23.5Expected FP - 33
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 2.5FantasyPros 3.03.4Expected FP - 34
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.23.4Expected FP - 35
Cade OttonTE · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 2.43.4Expected FP - 36
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.4Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 4.13.3Expected FP - 37
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 2.52.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
