FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 14 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 12.014.3Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 13.214.0Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.5Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.612.5Expected FP - 4
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 10.211.7Expected FP - 5
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 9.511.4Expected FP - 6
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 8.711.3Expected FP - 7
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 9.211.0Expected FP - 8
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 11.410.7Expected FP - 9
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 10.010.7Expected FP - 10
Mike EvansWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 9.510.6Expected FP - 11
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 8.910.3Expected FP - 12
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 9.110.2Expected FP - 13
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 8.99.9Expected FP - 14
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 8.89.6Expected FP - 15
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 9.19.5Expected FP - 16
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 8.99.5Expected FP - 17
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 10.0FantasyPros 8.79.0Expected FP - 18
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 8.38.9Expected FP - 19
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 7.68.4Expected FP - 20
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 9.08.4Expected FP - 21
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 7.38.3Expected FP - 22
Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 8.48.2Expected FP - 23
Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 9.68.2Expected FP - 24
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 7.28.0Expected FP - 25
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 8.58.0Expected FP - 26
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 8.08.0Expected FP - 27
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 7.98.0Expected FP - 28
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 7.38.0Expected FP - 29
KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 8.07.7Expected FP - 30
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 7.77.7Expected FP - 31
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 6.87.3Expected FP - 32
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 7.87.1Expected FP - 33
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 6.77.0Expected FP - 34
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.06.9Expected FP - 35
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.76.7Expected FP - 36
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 7.26.5Expected FP - 37
Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.7FantasyPros 4.66.4Expected FP - 38
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.06.3Expected FP - 39
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.46.3Expected FP - 40
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.66.2Expected FP - 41
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 4.46.0Expected FP - 42
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 5.56.0Expected FP - 43
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 4.56.0Expected FP - 44
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 5.65.9Expected FP - 45
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 4.65.8Expected FP - 46
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 7.05.8Expected FP - 47
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 5.95.8Expected FP - 48
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 5.55.7Expected FP - 49
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.1Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 6.85.5Expected FP - 50
Tank DellWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 2.0FantasyPros 5.35.5Expected FP - 51
Josh DownsWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.15.3Expected FP - 52
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 6.15.2Expected FP - 53
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 5.25.2Expected FP - 54
Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 3.35.2Expected FP - 55
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.4Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 3.35.1Expected FP - 56
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 4.85.0Expected FP - 57
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 5.84.9Expected FP - 58
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 4.94.8Expected FP - 59
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 5.94.8Expected FP - 60
DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 3.24.8Expected FP - 61
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 5.14.7Expected FP - 62
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 3.04.5Expected FP - 63
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 5.54.4Expected FP - 64
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 5.14.3Expected FP - 65
Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 2.84.1Expected FP - 66
Mack HollinsWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.54.0Expected FP - 67
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 4.03.9Expected FP - 68
Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 2.5FantasyPros 2.93.9Expected FP - 69
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 5.1FantasyPros 3.53.9Expected FP - 70
Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.2FantasyPros 4.03.9Expected FP - 71
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 2.93.8Expected FP - 72
Chris BellWR · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.4Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 4.23.7Expected FP - 73
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 3.53.7Expected FP - 74
Jalen NailorWR · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 2.6FantasyPros 3.23.7Expected FP - 75
Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 5.8FantasyPros 3.23.7Expected FP - 76
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 4.33.6Expected FP - 77
Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.1Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 2.93.5Expected FP - 78
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 2.63.5Expected FP - 79
De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 3.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 5.83.5Expected FP - 80
Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 1.93.4Expected FP - 81
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.6Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 3.63.3Expected FP - 82
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.8Sleeper 3.2FantasyPros 4.63.3Expected FP - 83
Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.6Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 4.13.3Expected FP - 84
Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.33.2Expected FP - 85
Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.6Sleeper 2.1FantasyPros 3.93.1Expected FP - 86
Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.13.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
