
Should I start Michael Wilson or Stefon Diggs in Week 14 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Stefon Diggs
Michael Wilson is on bye in Week 14 and projects for 0.0 FP. Stefon Diggs has a scheduled game and projects for 8.1 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Stefon Diggs: 7.5 FP recent scoring average.
- Michael Wilson: 10.5 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Michael Wilson
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Stefon Diggs
- FF projection
- 8.1 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 7.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 8.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.2 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Stefon Diggs faces HOU in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 7.5 fantasy points.
Michael Wilson
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 10.5 fantasy points. BYE
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Michael Wilson and Stefon Diggs?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
Sleeper also projects Stefon Diggs higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.5 FP, putting this forecast 10.5 points below that average.
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs has a 8.1 FP forecast in Standard against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.5 FP, putting this forecast 0.6 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Michael Wilson | Stefon Diggs | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 0.0 FP | 8.2 FP | Stefon Diggs +8.2 |
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 12.014.3Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 13.614.2Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.5Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.612.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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