
Should I start Brock Wright or Keleki Latu? (Half-PPR Week 14 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Keleki Latu
Week 14 ยท Half-PPR
Keleki Latu has the higher current FF forecast: 1.1 FP versus 0.9 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Keleki Latu: 4.5 FP recent scoring average.
- Keleki Latu: 8.75% matchup reduction against GB.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Keleki Latu
TE ยท BUFStats & schedule โบBrock Wright
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Keleki Latu
- Recent scoring average: 4.5 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 0.9 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Brock Wright faces TEN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Keleki Latu
- FF projection
- 1.1 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.6 FP
Keleki Latu faces GB in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 10.313.6Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 11.111.7Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 10.111.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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