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Week 132026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 13 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
25 shown · common FP scale
6.318.5
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  5. 5
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  6. 6
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  7. 7
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  8. 8
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  9. 9
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  10. 10
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  11. 11
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  12. 12
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  13. 13
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  15. 15
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  17. 17
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  18. 18
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  19. 19
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  23. 23
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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