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Week 132026 · Standard

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FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

Superflex · Week 13 · Standard · QB / RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

Superflex. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
0.027.1
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.7Expected FP
  2. 2
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.9Expected FP
  3. 3
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.5Expected FP
  4. 4
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.7Expected FP
  8. 8
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.5Expected FP
  9. 9
    Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.0Expected FP
  11. 11
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.9Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  13. 13
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.1Expected FP
  14. 14
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  15. 15
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.5Expected FP
  16. 16
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.5Expected FP
  17. 17
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  19. 19
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  20. 20
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  21. 21
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.5Expected FP
  22. 22
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  23. 23
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    Cam WardQB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  26. 26
    Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.3Expected FP
  27. 27
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.9Expected FP
  28. 28
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  29. 29
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  31. 31
    Joe Milton IIIQB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  32. 32
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  33. 33
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  34. 34
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  35. 35
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  36. 36
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  38. 38
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  39. 39
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.4Expected FP
  40. 40
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  41. 41
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  42. 42
    Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  43. 43
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  44. 44
    Justin HerbertQB · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.5Expected FP
  45. 45
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  46. 46
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  47. 47
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  48. 48
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  49. 49
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  50. 50
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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