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Week 132026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

FLEX · Week 13 · Standard · RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
50 shown · common FP scale
5.821.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.3Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  5. 5
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.5Expected FP
  8. 8
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  11. 11
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  12. 12
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  13. 13
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  14. 14
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  15. 15
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  16. 16
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  17. 17
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  18. 18
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.6Expected FP
  20. 20
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  21. 21
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  22. 22
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  23. 23
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  25. 25
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  26. 26
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  27. 27
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  28. 28
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  29. 29
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  30. 30
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  32. 32
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  33. 33
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  34. 34
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  35. 35
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  37. 37
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  38. 38
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  39. 39
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  40. 40
    Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  41. 41
    George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  43. 43
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  44. 44
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  46. 46
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  47. 47
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.2Expected FP
  48. 48
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  49. 49
    Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  50. 50
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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