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Week 132026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

FLEX · Week 13 · Standard · RB / WR / TE

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
10 shown · common FP scale
10.421.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.3Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  4. 4
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
  5. 5
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  6. 6
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.5Expected FP
  8. 8
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.0Expected FP
  9. 9
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  10. 10
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
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