Should I start Devin Singletary or Dylan Sampson in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Dylan Sampson

Week 13 · Standard

Dylan Sampson has the higher current FF forecast: 4.8 FP versus 4.5 FP. The 0.3-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Dylan Sampson: 6.5 FP recent scoring average.
Devin Singletary: 7.7 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 2026, 8:19 AM ET · Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

Devin Singletary

RB · NYGStats & schedule

4.5FF projected

↑ +0.1 vs ESPN

vs SF

Sun 1:00 PM ET

FF PICK

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLEStats & schedule

4.8FF projected

↓ -0.8 vs ESPN

vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Devin Singletary and Dylan Sampson?

Devin Singletary and Dylan Sampson are separated by 0.3 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.

The available estimates disagree: FantasyPros leans toward Devin Singletary, while ESPN, Sleeper, Boosted Trees lean toward Dylan Sampson. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary has a 4.5 FP forecast in Standard against SF. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.7 FP, putting this forecast 3.2 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson has a 4.8 FP forecast in Standard against CIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.5 FP, putting this forecast 1.7 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Devin Singletary	Dylan Sampson	Projected edge
ESPN	4.4 FP	5.6 FP	Dylan Sampson +1.2
Sleeper	4.7 FP	6.5 FP	Dylan Sampson +1.8
FantasyPros	3.9 FP	3.4 FP	Devin Singletary +0.5
Boosted Trees	1.6 FP	3.4 FP	Dylan Sampson +1.8

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Devin Singletary: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.121.3

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.0Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 19.2
21.3Expected FP
2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.7Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 14.1
16.4Expected FP
3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.4Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 16.9
16.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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