THE ALTERNATIVE
Dylan Sampson
RB · CLEStats & schedule ›6.2FF projected
↑ +1.3 vs ESPN
at NOSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Dylan Sampson or Omarion Hampton this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Omarion Hampton
Week 9 · Standard
Omarion Hampton has the higher current FF forecast: 6.4 FP versus 6.2 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated · Standard
at NOFF PICK
Omarion Hampton
RB · LACStats & schedule ›6.4FF projected
↓ -0.8 vs ESPN
vs HOUSun 4:05 PM ET
Dylan Sampson
FF6.2 FP
Boosted Trees3.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 7.3 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- Last 1 recorded games: 0.0 carries per game.
Omarion Hampton
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees5.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.3 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.0 carries per game.
Dylan Sampson
Fortified6.2
ESPN4.9
Sleeper6.2
FantasyPros5.4
Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET3.8
Dylan Sampson faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Omarion Hampton
Fortified6.4
ESPN7.2
Sleeper7.6
FantasyPros7.7
Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET5.9
Omarion Hampton faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Dylan Sampson and Omarion Hampton?
Dylan Sampson and Omarion Hampton are separated by 0.2 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson has a 6.2 FP forecast in Standard at NO. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.3 FP, putting this forecast 1.1 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton has a 6.4 FP forecast in Standard against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 3.3 FP, putting this forecast 3.1 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Dylan Sampson | Omarion Hampton | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 4.9 FP | 7.2 FP | Omarion Hampton +2.3 |
| Sleeper | 6.2 FP | 7.6 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.4 |
| FantasyPros | 5.4 FP | 7.7 FP | Omarion Hampton +2.2 |
| Boosted Trees | 3.8 FP | 5.9 FP | Omarion Hampton +2.1 |
Before the first kickoff. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
FEATURED · YOUR NEXT MOVE
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YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
#1 Week · #1 ROS · #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS · · WEEK 9 · Standard
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
3 shown · common FP scale
15.622.6
FF MEAN- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 21.322.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.118.8Expected FP - 3
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 16.518.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Rome Odunze
Dylan SampsonMore Week 9 decisions
RB · Week 9
Omarion Hampton6.4projected FP
Jadarian Price7.5projected FPCompare the matchup RB · Week 9Omarion Hampton6.4projected FP
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Aaron Jones Sr.7.0projected FPCompare the matchup RB · Week 9Omarion Hampton6.4projected FP
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Jahmyr Gibbs22.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FPCompare the matchup RB · Week 9Kenneth Walker III18.8projected FP
Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FPCompare the matchup RB · Week 9Jonathan Taylor18.3projected FP
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James Cook III14.9projected FPCompare the matchup
Jahmyr Gibbs22.6projected FPKenneth Walker III18.8projected FPKenneth Walker III18.8projected FPJonathan Taylor18.3projected FPJonathan Taylor18.3projected FPChristian McCaffrey17.9projected FPChristian McCaffrey17.9projected FPBijan Robinson16.5projected FPBijan Robinson16.5projected FPJavonte Williams16.0projected FPJavonte Williams16.0projected FPJames Cook III14.9projected FP