Should I start Andre Szmyt or Jake Elliott? (Standard Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Andre Szmyt

+1.5 projected edge · Standard

Start Andre Szmyt over Jake Elliott for Week 13 Standard: 7.9 projected points versus 6.5.

Andre Szmyt: 9.3 FP recent scoring average.
Jake Elliott: 3.7 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 11:06 PM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Andre Szmyt

K · CLEStats & schedule

7.9FF projected

↓ -1.4 vs ESPN

vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Elliott

K · PHIStats & schedule

6.5FF projected

↑ +0.8 vs ESPN

at ARI

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Why this pick?

Andre Szmyt

FF projection: 7.9 FP -1.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Andre Szmyt faces CIN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 9.3 fantasy points.

Jake Elliott

FF projection: 6.5 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.7 FP
Sleeper: 7.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Jake Elliott faces ARI in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 3.7 fantasy points.

Andre Szmyt projects for 7.9 points in standard scoring, 1.5 more than Jake Elliott. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 11:06 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.810.9

FF MEAN

1
Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 10.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 9.6
10.9Expected FP
2
Tyler BassK · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.7Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.8
9.7Expected FP
3
Trey SmackK · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.3
9.3Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.