Should I start Chase McLaughlin or Trey Smack? (Standard Week 13 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Trey Smack: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Trey Smack · Injury report dated Nov 12, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Chase McLaughlin: 11.3 FP recent scoring average.
Trey Smack: 7.3 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET · Standard

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Chase McLaughlin

K · TBStats & schedule

9.0FF projected

↓ -1.4 vs ESPN

vs LAC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Trey Smack

K · GBStats & schedule

9.4FF projected

↑ +0.5 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Chase McLaughlin

FF projection: 9.0 FP -1.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.4 FP
Sleeper: 8.0 FP
FantasyPros: 8.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Chase McLaughlin faces LAC in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 11.3 fantasy points.

Trey Smack

FF projection: 9.4 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 9.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Trey Smack faces NO in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 7.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. Trey Smack is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.811.0

FF MEAN

1
Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 11.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.6
11.0Expected FP
2
Tyler BassK · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.7Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.8
9.7Expected FP
3
Trey SmackK · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 9.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.3
9.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.