
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Drew Sample in Week 13 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Start Dalton Schultz
+6.4 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Dalton Schultz over Drew Sample for Week 13 PPR: 8.5 projected points versus 2.1.
- Dalton Schultz: 7.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Drew Sample: 3.5 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Drew Sample
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Dalton Schultz
- FF projection
- 8.5 FP +0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 7.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 8.7 FP
Dalton Schultz faces PIT in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 7.8 fantasy points.
Drew Sample
- FF projection
- 2.1 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.6 FP
Drew Sample faces CLE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 12.815.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 11.714.3Expected FP - 3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE ยท CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 13.012.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 13 decisions
Dalton Schultz8.5projected FP
Dalton Kincaid10.0projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.5projected FP
Hunter Henry8.4projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.5projected FP
Mike Gesicki8.2projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.5projected FP
Pat Freiermuth7.9projected FP
Trey McBride15.2projected FP
George Kittle14.3projected FP
George Kittle14.3projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.12.6projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.12.6projected FP
Isaiah Likely12.4projected FP
Isaiah Likely12.4projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.8projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.8projected FP
Tucker Kraft11.7projected FP
Tucker Kraft11.7projected FP
Kyle Pitts Sr.11.2projected FP