Should I start Cade Otton or Elijah Higgins? (PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Cade Otton

Week 13 · PPR

Cade Otton has the higher current FF forecast: 5.3 FP versus 5.1 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Cade Otton: 2.2 FP recent scoring average.
Cade Otton: 7.5% matchup reduction against LAC.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:16 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Cade Otton

TE · TBStats & schedule

5.3FF projected

↓ -2.3 vs ESPN

vs LAC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Elijah Higgins

TE · ARIStats & schedule

5.1FF projected

↑ +0.6 vs ESPN

vs PHI

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

10.116.8

FF MEAN

1
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 12.8
15.2Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 11.7
14.3Expected FP
3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 12.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.1Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 12.9
12.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.