Should I start Omarion Hampton or Tyjae Spears? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Omarion Hampton

+1.4 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Omarion Hampton over Tyjae Spears for Week 13 Half-PPR: 6.3 projected points versus 4.9.

Tyjae Spears: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Tyjae Spears · Injury report dated Nov 11, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Omarion Hampton: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
Omarion Hampton: 10% matchup reduction against TB.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:49 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Omarion Hampton

RB · LACStats & schedule

6.3FF projected

↑ +0.8 vs ESPN

at TB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyjae Spears

RB · TENStats & schedule

4.9FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

vs WAS

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Omarion Hampton

FF projection: 6.3 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.0 FP
FantasyPros: 7.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Omarion Hampton faces TB in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.

Tyjae Spears

FF projection: 4.9 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.3 FP
Sleeper: 5.7 FP
FantasyPros: 4.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Tyjae Spears faces WAS in Week 13. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%. Tyjae Spears is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Omarion Hampton projects for 6.3 points, 1.4 more than Tyjae Spears.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:49 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Omarion Hampton and Tyjae Spears?

Omarion Hampton holds a 1.4 FP projected edge over Tyjae Spears. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Omarion Hampton higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 6.3 FP forecast in Half-PPR at TB. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 1.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.

Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears has a 4.9 FP forecast in Half-PPR against WAS. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Omarion Hampton	Tyjae Spears	Projected edge
ESPN	5.5 FP	5.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +0.2
Sleeper	8.0 FP	5.7 FP	Omarion Hampton +2.3
FantasyPros	7.4 FP	4.7 FP	Omarion Hampton +2.7
Boosted Trees	6.4 FP	5.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +1.1

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Omarion Hampton: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Tyjae Spears: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

16.323.8

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.1
23.8Expected FP
2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 16.3
18.6Expected FP
3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.2Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 18.3
18.1Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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RB · Week 13