Should I start Jordan Addison or Xavier Worthy? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Jordan Addison

+1.5 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Jordan Addison over Xavier Worthy for Week 13 Half-PPR: 8.0 projected points versus 6.6.

Jordan Addison: 5.7 FP recent scoring average.
Xavier Worthy: 4.4 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 10:12 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Jordan Addison

WR · MINStats & schedule

8.0FF projected

↓ -1.7 vs ESPN

vs CAR

Sun 4:25 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Xavier Worthy

WR · KCStats & schedule

6.6FF projected

↑ +0.5 vs ESPN

at LAR

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Jordan Addison

FF projection: 8.0 FP -1.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.7 FP
Sleeper: 7.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Jordan Addison faces CAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 5.7 fantasy points.

Xavier Worthy

FF projection: 6.6 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.0 FP
Sleeper: 4.7 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Xavier Worthy faces LAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points.

Jordan Addison projects for 8.0 points in half-PPR scoring, 1.5 more than Xavier Worthy. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 10:12 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Jordan Addison and Xavier Worthy?

Jordan Addison holds a 1.5 FP projected edge over Xavier Worthy. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: ESPN, Sleeper, Boosted Trees lean toward Jordan Addison, while FantasyPros leans toward Xavier Worthy. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison has a 8.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against CAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.7 FP, putting this forecast 2.3 points above that average.

Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy has a 6.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR at LAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.4 FP, putting this forecast 2.2 points above that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Jordan Addison	Xavier Worthy	Projected edge
ESPN	9.7 FP	6.0 FP	Jordan Addison +3.6
Sleeper	7.6 FP	4.7 FP	Jordan Addison +2.9
FantasyPros	7.5 FP	7.8 FP	Xavier Worthy +0.3
Boosted Trees	8.4 FP	7.6 FP	Jordan Addison +0.8

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Jordan Addison: Sun 4:25 PM ET. Xavier Worthy: Thu 8:15 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

15.022.4

FF MEAN

1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.7
20.2Expected FP
2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.8Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.5
17.4Expected FP
3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 16.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 16.9
16.8Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 13