
Should I start Jaydn Ott or Jonathan Taylor in Week 13 (2026, Half-PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Jaydn Ott
Jonathan Taylor is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Jaydn Ott has a scheduled game and projects for 0.1 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Jaydn Ott: 0.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Jaydn Ott: 5% matchup reduction against LAR.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jonathan Taylor
RB ยท INDStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jaydn Ott
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Jaydn Ott faces LAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Jonathan Taylor
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 9.9 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.123.8Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 16.318.6Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 18.318.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 13 decisions
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Jaydn Ott0.1projected FP
Jaydn Ott0.1projected FP
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Dare Ogunbowale0.1projected FP
Christian McCaffrey18.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III18.1projected FP
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Bijan Robinson17.7projected FP
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Bucky Irving17.4projected FP
Bucky Irving17.4projected FP
Tony Pollard16.8projected FP
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James Cook III15.9projected FP
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Bhayshul Tuten14.4projected FP