
Should I start Jared Wayne or Rashee Rice in Week 13 (2026, Half-PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Start Rashee Rice
+10.4 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Rashee Rice over Jared Wayne for Week 13 Half-PPR: 11.1 projected points versus 0.8.
- Rashee Rice: 11.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Jared Wayne: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jared Wayne
WR ยท MIAStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Rashee Rice
- FF projection
- 11.1 FP +1.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 9.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 12.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 11.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 10.2 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Rashee Rice faces LAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 11.1 fantasy points.
Jared Wayne
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Jared Wayne faces DEN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.720.2Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.8Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.517.4Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 16.916.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 13 decisions
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Christian Watson15.2projected FP
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Matthew Golden14.9projected FP
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Drake London14.6projected FP