Should I start David Moore or Michael Wilson in Week 13 (2026, Half-PPR)?

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Michael Wilson: Confirmed unavailable; do not make a normal active-player recommendation. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Michael Wilson · Injury report dated Nov 10, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

David Moore: -0.7 FP recent scoring average.
David Moore: 7.5% matchup reduction against MIN.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 2026, 12:45 PM ET · Half-PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

David Moore

WR · CARStats & schedule

0.3FF projected

at MIN

Sun 4:25 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Michael Wilson

WR · ARIStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

vs PHI

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Why this pick?

David Moore

FF projection: 0.3 FP
Sleeper: 0.4 FP
Boosted Trees: -0.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

David Moore faces MIN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: -0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Michael Wilson

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Michael Wilson faces PHI in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%. IR

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 12:45 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

15.022.4

FF MEAN

1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.7
20.2Expected FP
2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.8Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 15.5
17.4Expected FP
3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.6Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 16.9
16.8Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.