FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 12 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.9Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.822.2Expected FP - 2
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.2Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 17.921.1Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.1Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 20.220.8Expected FP - 4
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 24.4FantasyPros 19.520.6Expected FP - 5
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 16.5FantasyPros 17.019.9Expected FP - 6
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.8Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 18.018.1Expected FP - 7
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.9Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 16.017.2Expected FP - 8
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 16.616.7Expected FP - 9
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.9Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 15.916.7Expected FP - 10
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.4Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 16.416.6Expected FP - 11
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.1Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 16.416.6Expected FP - 12
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 15.016.4Expected FP - 13
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 15.615.9Expected FP - 14
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.0Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 15.615.4Expected FP - 15
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.0Sleeper 17.9FantasyPros 15.115.1Expected FP - 16
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 14.114.8Expected FP - 17
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 15.414.3Expected FP - 18
George PickensWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 12.513.8Expected FP - 19
A.J. BrownWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.0Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 13.613.8Expected FP - 20
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 12.413.4Expected FP - 21
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 11.713.3Expected FP - 22
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 13.313.3Expected FP - 23
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 13.313.2Expected FP - 24
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 11.912.9Expected FP - 25
Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 12.312.7Expected FP - 26
KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 12.312.5Expected FP - 27
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 11.612.5Expected FP - 28
Mike EvansWR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 10.612.4Expected FP - 29
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 12.012.3Expected FP - 30
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 10.211.8Expected FP - 31
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 12.811.7Expected FP - 32
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 11.811.3Expected FP - 33
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.2Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 10.711.1Expected FP - 34
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 12.010.9Expected FP - 35
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 13.110.8Expected FP - 36
DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 10.710.5Expected FP - 37
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 10.010.5Expected FP - 38
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 10.510.4Expected FP - 39
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 10.210.3Expected FP - 40
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 11.210.3Expected FP - 41
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 10.110.2Expected FP - 42
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 10.910.2Expected FP - 43
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 10.110.1Expected FP - 44
Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 9.6FantasyPros 9.210.0Expected FP - 45
Josh DownsWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 10.39.6Expected FP - 46
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 10.59.5Expected FP - 47
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 9.29.4Expected FP - 48
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 9.39.4Expected FP - 49
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 9.09.1Expected FP - 50
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 10.39.1Expected FP - 51
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 9.39.1Expected FP - 52
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 10.29.1Expected FP - 53
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 7.28.9Expected FP - 54
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 8.38.9Expected FP - 55
Tank DellWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 10.18.8Expected FP - 56
Mack HollinsWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 7.08.7Expected FP - 57
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 9.28.7Expected FP - 58
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 9.08.6Expected FP - 59
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 8.08.2Expected FP - 60
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 6.0FantasyPros 8.38.0Expected FP - 61
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.07.9Expected FP - 62
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 8.97.9Expected FP - 63
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 6.47.7Expected FP - 64
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 9.97.6Expected FP - 65
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 6.17.4Expected FP - 66
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 7.37.3Expected FP - 67
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 7.57.3Expected FP - 68
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.47.3Expected FP - 69
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 9.17.2Expected FP - 70
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.0FantasyPros 6.06.5Expected FP - 71
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 9.26.3Expected FP - 72
Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 7.06.3Expected FP - 73
Chris BellWR · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 6.86.1Expected FP - 74
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.56.0Expected FP - 75
Travis HunterWR · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8FantasyPros 6.15.9Expected FP - 76
Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 6.15.9Expected FP - 77
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 6.95.7Expected FP - 78
Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 5.65.5Expected FP - 79
Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 4.15.5Expected FP - 80
Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 6.55.4Expected FP - 81
Efton Chism IIIWR · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 1.9Sleeper 3.3FantasyPros 5.65.3Expected FP - 82
Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 2.4FantasyPros 6.65.2Expected FP - 83
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 4.15.2Expected FP - 84
Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 3.0FantasyPros 5.85.1Expected FP - 85
Jalen NailorWR · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 3.5FantasyPros 5.25.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
