FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 12 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 19.1FantasyPros 18.219.0Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 18.7FantasyPros 14.217.1Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 14.914.8Expected FP - 4
George KittleTE · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.0Sleeper 14.2FantasyPros 11.313.8Expected FP - 5
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 11.413.2Expected FP - 6
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 11.412.7Expected FP - 7
Travis KelceTE · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 9.211.2Expected FP - 8
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.3Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 8.711.2Expected FP - 9
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 12.110.8Expected FP - 10
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 11.210.7Expected FP - 11
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 12.910.5Expected FP - 12
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.7Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 10.210.3Expected FP - 13
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 9.310.1Expected FP - 14
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 10.29.9Expected FP - 15
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 10.69.9Expected FP - 16
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 9.39.7Expected FP - 17
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 9.49.4Expected FP - 18
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.89.3Expected FP - 19
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 9.99.1Expected FP - 20
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 8.49.0Expected FP - 21
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 8.18.6Expected FP - 22
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 8.88.5Expected FP - 23
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 6.98.1Expected FP - 24
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 6.57.9Expected FP - 25
Michael MayerTE · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.47.7Expected FP - 26
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 7.57.6Expected FP - 27
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 6.57.0Expected FP - 28
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 9.96.5Expected FP - 29
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 6.16.4Expected FP - 30
Cade OttonTE · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 7.26.4Expected FP - 31
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 7.96.0Expected FP - 32
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 4.76.0Expected FP - 33
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 5.95.9Expected FP - 34
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 4.15.8Expected FP - 35
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 4.75.6Expected FP - 36
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 5.75.5Expected FP - 37
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 4.65.2Expected FP - 38
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 6.25.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
