
Should I start Hunter Henry or Kyle Pitts Sr.? (PPR Week 12 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Hunter Henry
+0.7 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts Sr. for Week 12 PPR: 7.9 projected points versus 7.2.
- Hunter Henry: 8.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Hunter Henry: 7.5% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Hunter Henry
- FF projection
- 7.9 FP -0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 9.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.5 FP
Hunter Henry faces LAC in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 8.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
- FF projection
- 7.2 FP -1.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.2 FP
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces MIN in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 7.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 18.219.0Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 17.7FantasyPros 14.217.0Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 14.914.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Hunter Henry7.9projected FP
Darren Waller9.3projected FP
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Dalton Schultz8.0projected FP
Hunter Henry7.9projected FP
AJ Barner7.6projected FP
Hunter Henry7.9projected FP
Darnell Washington8.3projected FP
Trey McBride19.0projected FP
Brock Bowers17.0projected FP
Brock Bowers17.0projected FP
Colston Loveland14.9projected FP
Colston Loveland14.9projected FP
George Kittle13.8projected FP
George Kittle13.8projected FP
Isaiah Likely13.1projected FP
Isaiah Likely13.1projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.13.0projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.13.0projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.2projected FP
Keenan Allen
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Omarion Hampton