
Should I start DeVonta Smith or KeAndre Lambert-Smith in Week 12 (2026, PPR)?
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
DeVonta Smith: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
DeVonta Smith ยท Injury report dated
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 3.0 FP recent scoring average.
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 10% matchup lift against NE.
Forecast updated ยท PPR


KeAndre Lambert-Smith
WR ยท LACStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
DeVonta Smith
- FF projection
- 15.4 FP +1.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 14.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 14.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 15.6 FP
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 12. DeVonta Smith is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
- FF projection
- 1.6 FP +1.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.8 FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces NE in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.9Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.822.2Expected FP - 2
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.2Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 17.920.9Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.1Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 20.220.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 12 decisions
Ja'Marr Chase22.2projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.9projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.9projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.8projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.8projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.6projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.6projected FP
Tee Higgins19.9projected FP
Tee Higgins19.9projected FP
Malik Nabers18.1projected FP
Malik Nabers18.1projected FP
Luther Burden III17.2projected FP