
Should I start Brock Wright or Nick Muse in Week 12 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Brock Wright
+0.5 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Brock Wright over Nick Muse for Week 12 PPR: 1.0 projected points versus 0.5.
- Brock Wright: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Nick Muse: 2.7 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Nick Muse
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 1.0 FP +0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.9 FP
Brock Wright faces CHI in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Nick Muse
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Nick Muse faces MIN in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 2.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 19.1FantasyPros 18.219.0Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 18.7FantasyPros 14.217.1Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 14.914.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 12 decisions
Brock Wright1.0projected FP
Sam Roush2.5projected FP
Brock Wright1.0projected FP
Drew Ogletree1.0projected FP
Brock Wright1.0projected FP
Jared Wiley1.0projected FP
Brock Wright1.0projected FP
Jeremy Ruckert1.0projected FP
Trey McBride19.0projected FP
Brock Bowers17.1projected FP
Brock Bowers17.1projected FP
Colston Loveland14.8projected FP
Colston Loveland14.8projected FP
George Kittle13.8projected FP
George Kittle13.8projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.13.2projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.13.2projected FP
Isaiah Likely12.7projected FP
Isaiah Likely12.7projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.2projected FP