Should I start Dylan Sampson or Omarion Hampton? (Half-PPR Week 12 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Dylan Sampson

+0.5 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Dylan Sampson over Omarion Hampton for Week 12 Half-PPR: 7.7 projected points versus 7.2.

Dylan Sampson: 8.5 FP recent scoring average.
Dylan Sampson: 7.5% matchup lift against LV.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 7:40 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLEStats & schedule

7.7FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

vs LV

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Omarion Hampton

RB · LACStats & schedule

7.2FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

vs NE

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Why this pick?

Dylan Sampson

FF projection: 7.7 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Dylan Sampson faces LV in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 8.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.

Omarion Hampton

FF projection: 7.2 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.7 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 6.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Omarion Hampton faces NE in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Dylan Sampson projects for 7.7 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.5 more than Omarion Hampton. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 7:40 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Dylan Sampson and Omarion Hampton?

Dylan Sampson holds a 0.5 FP projected edge over Omarion Hampton. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: ESPN leans toward Dylan Sampson, while Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees lean toward Omarion Hampton. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson has a 7.7 FP forecast in Half-PPR against LV. His recorded recent scoring average is 8.5 FP, putting this forecast 0.8 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 7.5%; it is already included in the projection.

Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton has a 7.2 FP forecast in Half-PPR against NE. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 2.3 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Dylan Sampson	Omarion Hampton	Projected edge
ESPN	8.4 FP	7.7 FP	Dylan Sampson +0.7
Sleeper	8.1 FP	8.2 FP	Omarion Hampton +0.2
FantasyPros	6.5 FP	6.9 FP	Omarion Hampton +0.5
Boosted Trees	5.1 FP	7.3 FP	Omarion Hampton +2.1

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Omarion Hampton: Sun 8:20 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.924.8

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.2Sleeper 24.8FantasyPros 20.2
23.0Expected FP
2
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.3Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 17.4
20.4Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.1Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 14.9
16.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 12