
Should I start Anthony Tyus III or Jaleel McLaughlin? (Half-PPR Week 12 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Jaleel McLaughlin
Week 12 ยท Half-PPR
Jaleel McLaughlin has the higher current FF forecast: 0.9 FP versus 0.5 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 7.5% matchup lift against LV.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jaleel McLaughlin
RB ยท CLEStats & schedule โบAnthony Tyus III
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 carries per game.
Jaleel McLaughlin
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.3 carries per game.
Anthony Tyus III
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP +0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Anthony Tyus III faces TB in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Jaleel McLaughlin
- FF projection
- 0.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- -0.5 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Jaleel McLaughlin faces LV in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.2Sleeper 24.824.2Expected FP - 2
Bucky IrvingRB ยท TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.3Sleeper 17.820.6Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.1Sleeper 18.117.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Kyren Williams16.5projected FP
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