
Should I start Jordan Addison or Keon Coleman? (Standard Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Jordan Addison
+1.3 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Jordan Addison over Keon Coleman for Week 11 Standard: 5.7 projected points versus 4.3.
- Jordan Addison: 4.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Jordan Addison: 6.25% matchup reduction against SF.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Keon Coleman
WR ยท BUFStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jordan Addison
- FF projection
- 5.7 FP -1.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.6 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jordan Addison faces SF in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 4.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Keon Coleman
- FF projection
- 4.3 FP -0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 4.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Keon Coleman faces MIA in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 13.815.3Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 12.614.4Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 10.813.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Keon Coleman