
Should I start Feleipe Franks or Stephen Carlson? (PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Stephen Carlson
The displayed FF scores are tied, and ESPN does not separate them on a comparable margin. Stephen Carlson has the higher unrounded FF forecast (0.14 versus 0.06 FP).
- Stephen Carlson: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Stephen Carlson: 2.5% matchup lift against NO.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Feleipe Franks
TE ยท CARStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Stephen Carlson
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Stephen Carlson faces NO in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Feleipe Franks
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Feleipe Franks faces BAL in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 15.818.5Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 15.816.4Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 14.613.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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