FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 11 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 17.619.2Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 16.418.8Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.8FantasyPros 13.416.9Expected FP - 4
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 15.715.9Expected FP - 5
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 13.514.0Expected FP - 6
George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 14.213.6Expected FP - 7
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.2Sleeper 14.6FantasyPros 13.313.6Expected FP - 8
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 12.9FantasyPros 12.313.6Expected FP - 9
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 13.113.4Expected FP - 10
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 12.212.9Expected FP - 11
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 12.212.7Expected FP - 12
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 10.812.2Expected FP - 13
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 10.812.1Expected FP - 14
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 13.1FantasyPros 10.311.6Expected FP - 15
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 12.111.3Expected FP - 16
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 14.0FantasyPros 11.011.3Expected FP - 17
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 14.0FantasyPros 9.411.2Expected FP - 18
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 10.710.8Expected FP - 19
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 11.810.6Expected FP - 20
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 9.510.6Expected FP - 21
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.410.3Expected FP - 22
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 9.810.2Expected FP - 23
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 9.710.1Expected FP - 24
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.89.9Expected FP - 25
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 10.39.5Expected FP - 26
Mike EvansWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 6.79.5Expected FP - 27
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 9.19.4Expected FP - 28
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 9.99.2Expected FP - 29
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 8.89.2Expected FP - 30
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.69.0Expected FP - 31
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.38.6Expected FP - 32
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 7.48.3Expected FP - 33
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 8.28.3Expected FP - 34
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 8.38.3Expected FP - 35
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 7.78.3Expected FP - 36
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 6.08.2Expected FP - 37
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 7.38.0Expected FP - 38
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 7.17.9Expected FP - 39
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.37.8Expected FP - 40
Josh DownsWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 7.77.7Expected FP - 41
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 8.97.4Expected FP - 42
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 6.67.4Expected FP - 43
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 7.77.3Expected FP - 44
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 7.67.3Expected FP - 45
Tank DellWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 2.4FantasyPros 7.97.2Expected FP - 46
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.1Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 8.26.9Expected FP - 47
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 7.86.6Expected FP - 48
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.76.5Expected FP - 49
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.36.5Expected FP - 50
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 3.5FantasyPros 4.96.3Expected FP - 51
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 7.86.3Expected FP - 52
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 5.06.3Expected FP - 53
Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 3.86.3Expected FP - 54
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 6.06.2Expected FP - 55
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 6.46.0Expected FP - 56
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 3.6FantasyPros 4.65.9Expected FP - 57
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 7.05.8Expected FP - 58
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 5.35.4Expected FP - 59
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.2FantasyPros 4.55.4Expected FP - 60
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 5.35.3Expected FP - 61
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 5.64.9Expected FP - 62
Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 4.84.7Expected FP - 63
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.9Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 5.44.6Expected FP - 64
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 4.14.6Expected FP - 65
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 6.24.5Expected FP - 66
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 4.74.4Expected FP - 67
Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 2.74.2Expected FP - 68
Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 2.1FantasyPros 4.74.0Expected FP - 69
Jalen NailorWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 2.8FantasyPros 4.14.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
