FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 11 · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 12.615.6Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 12.213.2Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.210.9Expected FP - 4
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.010.4Expected FP - 5
George KittleTE · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 8.810.2Expected FP - 6
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 8.19.6Expected FP - 7
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 10.0FantasyPros 10.19.5Expected FP - 8
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 11.89.1Expected FP - 9
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 10.89.0Expected FP - 10
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 7.18.5Expected FP - 11
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 8.87.7Expected FP - 12
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 9.77.7Expected FP - 13
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 7.37.5Expected FP - 14
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 5.47.3Expected FP - 15
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 6.37.2Expected FP - 16
Michael MayerTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 7.36.8Expected FP - 17
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 6.36.8Expected FP - 18
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 5.26.7Expected FP - 19
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 4.76.3Expected FP - 20
Cade OttonTE · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.26.0Expected FP - 21
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 3.76.0Expected FP - 22
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 4.05.8Expected FP - 23
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.95.7Expected FP - 24
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 4.85.6Expected FP - 25
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.8Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 3.04.8Expected FP - 26
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 4.24.7Expected FP - 27
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 4.04.3Expected FP - 28
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 3.04.3Expected FP - 29
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.1Sleeper 5.54.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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