
Should I start Jake Briningstool or Tanner Koziol? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Tanner Koziol
Week 11 ยท Half-PPR
Tanner Koziol has the higher current FF forecast: 0.9 FP versus 0.5 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Tanner Koziol: 1.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Jake Briningstool: 0.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Tanner Koziol
TE ยท JACStats & schedule โบJake Briningstool
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Tanner Koziol
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
Jake Briningstool
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Jake Briningstool faces ARI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Tanner Koziol
- FF projection
- 0.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Tanner Koziol faces NYG in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 12.615.4Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 12.213.0Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 11.210.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
Tanner Koziol0.9projected FP
Mitchell Evans2.4projected FP
Tanner Koziol0.9projected FP
Grant Calcaterra0.9projected FP
Tanner Koziol0.9projected FP
Justin Joly1.0projected FP
Tanner Koziol0.9projected FP
Luke Farrell1.0projected FP
Brock Bowers15.4projected FP
Trey McBride13.0projected FP
Trey McBride13.0projected FP
Travis Kelce10.5projected FP
Travis Kelce10.5projected FP
Colston Loveland10.3projected FP
Colston Loveland10.3projected FP
George Kittle9.9projected FP
George Kittle9.9projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.8projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.8projected FP
Dalton Kincaid9.1projected FP