
Should I start Harrison Wallace III or Ryan Miller? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Harrison Wallace III
Ryan Miller is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Harrison Wallace III has a scheduled game and projects for 1.2 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Harrison Wallace III: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Harrison Wallace III: 10% matchup reduction against KC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Ryan Miller
WR ยท NEStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Harrison Wallace III
- FF projection
- 1.2 FP -1.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 2.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.7 FP
Harrison Wallace III faces KC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Ryan Miller
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 18.119.5Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 16.418.3Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 13.416.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
Harrison Wallace III1.2projected FP
De'Zhaun Stribling2.5projected FP
Harrison Wallace III1.2projected FP
Ben Skowronek1.2projected FP
Harrison Wallace III1.2projected FP
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine1.2projected FP
Harrison Wallace III1.2projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.1projected FP
CeeDee Lamb19.5projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase18.3projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase18.3projected FP
Tee Higgins16.4projected FP
Tee Higgins16.4projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown15.6projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown15.6projected FP
Malik Nabers13.9projected FP
Malik Nabers13.9projected FP
George Pickens13.6projected FP
George Pickens13.6projected FP
Luther Burden III13.5projected FP