
Should I start Gavin Bartholomew or Robert Tonyan? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Gavin Bartholomew
+1.4 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Gavin Bartholomew over Robert Tonyan for Week 11 Half-PPR: 1.4 projected points versus 0.1.
- Gavin Bartholomew: 0.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Robert Tonyan: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Robert Tonyan
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Gavin Bartholomew
- FF projection
- 1.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Gavin Bartholomew faces SF in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points.
Robert Tonyan
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Robert Tonyan faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 12.615.4Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 12.213.0Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 11.210.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
Gavin Bartholomew1.4projected FP
Mitchell Evans2.4projected FP
Gavin Bartholomew1.4projected FP
Marlin Klein1.4projected FP
Gavin Bartholomew1.4projected FP
Gavin Bartholomew1.4projected FP
John Bates1.4projected FP
Brock Bowers15.4projected FP
Trey McBride13.0projected FP
Trey McBride13.0projected FP
Travis Kelce10.5projected FP
Travis Kelce10.5projected FP
Colston Loveland10.4projected FP
Colston Loveland10.4projected FP
George Kittle9.9projected FP
George Kittle9.9projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.8projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.8projected FP
Dalton Kincaid9.1projected FP