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Week 112026 ยท Half-PPR

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Should I start CeeDee Lamb or Garrett Wilson? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start CeeDee Lamb

+6.7 projected edge ยท Half-PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb over Garrett Wilson for Week 11 Half-PPR: 19.4 projected points versus 12.6.

Garrett Wilson: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Garrett Wilson ยท Injury report dated

  • CeeDee Lamb: 19.9 FP recent scoring average.
  • CeeDee Lamb: 6.25% matchup lift against TEN.

Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

CeeDee Lamb
THE WEEK 9 FILE ยท REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hallโ€™s return. Cooperโ€™s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis โ†—
Why this pick?

CeeDee Lamb

FF projection
19.4 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN
18.6 FP
Sleeper
17.5 FP
FantasyPros
17.6 FP
Boosted Trees
16.0 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

CeeDee Lamb faces TEN in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 19.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.

Garrett Wilson

FF projection
12.6 FP +2.0vs ESPN
ESPN
10.6 FP
Sleeper
12.5 FP
FantasyPros
12.2 FP
Boosted Trees
11.0 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Garrett Wilson faces LAC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 7.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%. Garrett Wilson is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

CeeDee Lamb projects for 19.4 points, 6.7 more than Garrett Wilson.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 1:35 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
13.419.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.4Expected FP
  2. 2
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.3Expected FP
  3. 3
    Tee HigginsWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full WR rankings โ†—

More Week 11 decisions

Still deciding on CeeDee Lamb?

WR ยท Week 11
CeeDee Lamb19.4projected FP
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CeeDee Lamb19.4projected FP
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