
Should I start Brock Wright or Tanner Conner in Week 11 (2026, Half-PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Brock Wright
Tanner Conner is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Brock Wright has a scheduled game and projects for 0.8 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Brock Wright: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Tanner Conner
TE ยท NEStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.6 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Brock Wright faces TB in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Tanner Conner
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 12.615.6Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 12.213.2Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.210.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Cole Kmet0.8projected FP
Brock Wright0.8projected FP
Grant Calcaterra0.9projected FP
Brock Bowers15.6projected FP
Trey McBride13.2projected FP
Trey McBride13.2projected FP
Travis Kelce10.9projected FP
Travis Kelce10.9projected FP
Colston Loveland10.4projected FP
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George Kittle10.2projected FP
George Kittle10.2projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.6projected FP
Isaiah Likely9.6projected FP
Dalton Kincaid9.5projected FP