
Should I start Austin Hooper or Pharaoh Brown? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Pharaoh Brown
Austin Hooper is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Pharaoh Brown has a scheduled game and projects for 0.4 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Pharaoh Brown: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Pharaoh Brown: 6.25% matchup reduction against HOU.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Austin Hooper
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Pharaoh Brown
- FF projection
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Pharaoh Brown faces HOU in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Austin Hooper
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 12.615.4Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 12.213.0Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 11.210.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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