
Should I start Sam Roush or Travis Kelce this week? (Standard Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Travis Kelce
Sam Roush is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Travis Kelce has a scheduled game and projects for 7.5 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Travis Kelce: 8.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Sam Roush: 0.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Sam Roush get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Sam Roush
TE ยท CHIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Travis Kelce
- FF projection
- 7.5 FP +0.6vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.9 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Travis Kelce faces ATL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 8.1 fantasy points.
Sam Roush
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.710.5Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 9.010.1Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 8.48.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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