
Should I start Payne Durham or Treyton Welch this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Payne Durham: 0.2 versus 0.0 FP per game. Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

0.6FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Treyton Welch
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
Sun 9:30 AM ET
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Treyton Welch
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Treyton Welch
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Treyton Welch faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
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