RESEARCH PICK
Michael Wilson
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ7.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Michael Wilson or Tre Tucker this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Wilson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Michael Wilson averaged 9.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 6.7 for Tre Tucker. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DENTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tre Tucker
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบ7.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Michael Wilson
FF7.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.3 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Tre Tucker
FF7.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload7.7 FP
Monte Carlo7.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.6 targets and 0.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Wilson
Fortified7.7
ESPN7.9
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Michael Wilson faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Tre Tucker
Fortified7.3
ESPN7.0
Sleeper6.2
FantasyProsโ
Tre Tucker faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
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