THE ALTERNATIVE
Jaylen Waddle
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ7.9FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Jaylen Waddle or Michael Wilson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Wilson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Michael Wilson averaged 9.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 6.0 for Jaylen Waddle. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Michael Wilson: 5.3 versus 4.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Michael Wilson
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ7.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Jaylen Waddle
FF7.9 FP
Boosted Trees6.4 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.9 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.8 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Michael Wilson
FF7.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.3 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jaylen Waddle
Fortified7.9
ESPN6.7
Sleeper8.4
FantasyProsโ
Jaylen Waddle faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Michael Wilson
Fortified7.7
ESPN7.9
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Michael Wilson faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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